World Data Lab
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Category

Education

Household spending on education is projected to grow from USD 900B in 2026 to USD 1.5T by 2035, as emerging middle classes buy their way up the mobility ladder.

USD 0.9T

Spending in 2026

USD 1.5T

Spending in 2035

4 tiers

Income splits per city

Rising bar chart with graduation cap and books in lime green
Education - modelled across 190+ countries and 9,000+ cities

A leading indicator

Households buy education before they buy anything else discretionary.

When income rises in an emerging market, private tuition, supplementary schooling and tertiary fees absorb the increase first. Education spend is therefore one of the earliest, clearest signals that a city is moving up the income ladder.

Highly concentrated

A handful of countries account for the majority of global growth in household education spending.

India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Egypt and the Philippines each add large cohorts of school-age children to households that can newly afford to spend on them. Our demographic overlay pairs cohort size with the ability to pay.

Household, not government

We isolate what families actually pay, not what the state spends.

Public education budgets tell you about policy. Household education spending tells you about the addressable market for tutoring, edtech, private schooling and higher education - and that is what we model.

Why it matters

Education spend is the leading indicator of upward mobility. It's the category where next-generation consumer wealth is manufactured.

Category stat

1.5T USD

Household spend by 2035

Education

What's inside

Category detail, done properly

  • Pre-primary through tertiary and continuing education
  • Household spend excluding public funding
  • Income-tier splits by city
  • Family-formation demographic overlay
Access the data

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Education

A concise slide deck of the key education spending trends across 190+ countries and 9,000+ cities, projected through 2040.

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